Nen kinh te dang trong tinh trang bat thuong

Thứ ba, 21 Tháng năm 2013, 14:40 GMT+7

So luong DN dong cua binh quan theo quy nam 2013 con lon hon ca 2 nam truoc gop lai, Vien truong Vien Kinh te Viet Nam nhin nhan, nen kinh te Viet Nam trong nam 2013 van trong trang thai “bat thuong”.

-------------------------

>> Vi sao khong giam tran lai suat huy dong?

>> Ha tran lai suat huy dong xuong 8%/nam

>> Viet Nam truot Top 20 nen kinh te tang truong nhanh

>> Kinh te Viet Nam 2013: Tuoi sang trong kho khan
-------------------------

images/vn888/hot/v2013/7ad607c93d-1-article-img-id-5304281-t-1369119855928.jpeg

Nhan dinh nay duoc TS.Tran Dinh Thien – Vien truong Vien Kinh te Viet Nam dua ra tai hoi thao “Ngan hang – Doanh nghiep: Giai phap dong tien” sang 20/5.

Kho khan da toi dinh diem

So lieu cong bo cua VCCI quy I/2013 cho thay, trong so 15.700 doanh nghiep (DN) moi duoc thanh lap, thi cung co toi 15.000 DN dung hoat dong va giai the. Ba Pham Thu Hang – Pho Chu tich VCCI nhin nhan, con so nay cho thay kho khan cua DN da gan den dinh diem.

Dung hinh anh truu tuong hon, TS. Tran Dinh Thien vi “DN dang chet nhu ra nhu sung”. So luong DN dong cua binh quan theo quy con lon hon ca 2 nam truoc gop lai. Lau nay DN va ngan hang van cung “chien tuyen”, nen khi DN gap kho khan thi ngan hang cung “len bo xuong ruong”, vi co tien cho vay ra khong duoc.

Coi “su ra di cua DN” la su dau don, nuoi tiec vi chuyen gia nay cho rang, da toi luc chung ta can nhin nhan lai, rang chinh DN la thanh qua quan trong nhat, the hien su vuon len cua dat nuoc chu khong phai la nhung chi so tang truong, hay xuat khau….

“Nhung du bao ve kha nang den day va thoat day cua nen kinh te bat dau tu giua nam 2013 dang tro nen xa thuc te hon”. Trong quy I nam 2013 – nam duoc xem la ban le cua nen kinh te: Hai yeu to quyet dinh khoi phuc tang truong va on dinh vi mo – tang truong tin dung (0,03%) va thu chi ngan sach (16,7% va 18,5% du toan ca nam) cua quy I deu yeu hon cac nam truoc

Cung theo vi chuyen gia nay, hoach dinh chinh sach hien dang ton tai nhieu rui ro, so lieu thieu su chinh xac, moi co quan dua ra mot con so khien DN, nguoi dan “hoa mat” khong biet nen tin vao con so nao. Ngay ca nhung chi so quan trong mang tinh do luong nhu du tru ngoai hoi, no xau… cung thieu su minh bach.

Don cu, con so no xau cua Viet Nam thieu su ro rang, co quan trong nuoc cong bo mot so lieu, cac to chuc tai chinh quoc te nghien cuu ve Viet Nam lai dua ra so lieu khac, no xau o Viet Nam chang biet la bao nhieu, sai so co khi len toi hang ngan ty.

“Co so so lieu cua ta cai nhau nhu mo bo, khong dam cong khai con so thuc cho thay tinh hinh dang rat gay go. Co le can phai tiep can so lieu dong chu khong phai tinh" - Vien truong Vien Kinh te Viet Nam noi thang.

Ap tran lai vay de “keo” niem tin

Theo ong Tran Dinh Thien nam 2012 va dau nam 2013 nen kinh te van trong tinh trang “bat thuong”, tham chi gay gat hon. Nhung van de hien tai khong the duoc giai quyet bang cach noi long chinh sach tien te va tai khoa ma phai co nhung giai phap cu the.

“Ro rang co che dieu hanh tien te hien nay dang “day” cai kho cho DN va nguoi dan”- TS. Tran Dinh Thien neu quan diem. Trong khi co quan dieu hanh ap tran lai suat huy dong o muc 7,5%/nam, thi lai suat dau ra lai dang duoc “tha”, khien doanh nghiep khong the tiep can duoc dong von vay cua ngan hang do mat bang lai suat nay bi day len cao.

Ong Thien cho rang, hieu ung “nguoc” cua co che dieu hanh nay la lam suy yeu dong co gui tien cua nguoi dan, han che no luc chong lam phat, lam cham qua trinh tiep can von gia re cua DN, suy yeu no luc phuc hoi tang truong.

"Mot khi “benh” da yeu thi phai chua tu ben trong chu khong phai so so ben ngoai”- ong thang than.

Tren thuc te, du lai suat huy dong duoc du bao giam va cac chi so kinh te vi mo cho thay van con du dia de lai suat tiep tuc giam tao dieu kien giam lai suat vay, nhung so luong DN tiep can duoc nguon von vay re la rat it. Trong luc nay, nhung goi cho vay lai suat thap nhu goi tai tro von luu dong tri gia 2000 ty cua ngan hang SeABank voi lai suat 9,9%/nam… se la giai phap “cuu canh” cho cac DN vua va nho.

Hien ke de he thong tai chinh lay lai niem tin, Vien truong Vien Kinh te Viet Nam de xuat phai ap ngay tran lai suat cho vay thay vi ap tran lai suat huy dong hien nay. Ben canh do, can gap rut dat ra mot co che giai quyet no xau, tang cuong quan ly rui ro va he thong quan tri doanh nghiep.

Truoc quan diem nen hay khong ap tran lai suat cho vay, ong Nguyen Viet Manh - Vu truong Vu tin dung Ngan hang Nha nuoc (NHNN) cho biet, NHNN dang tien toi bo tran lai suat tuy nhien trong dieu kien hien tai de on dinh kinh te vi mo thi van can toi cong cu nay.

Thoi gian vua qua, duong cong lai suat da tro lai theo thi truong thay vi dang duong thang nhu truoc day. Hang loat cac ngan hang giam lai suat xuong duoi muc tran 7,5% thay vi lach luat de canh tranh lai suat.

Ong Manh cung cho rang, muc tieu tang truong tin dung nam 2013 o muc 12% la hoan toan kha thi. “Hien tai do cau thi truong yeu va ban than cac DN cung chua du luc, do do tang truong tin dung khong cao chu khong phai hoan toan do kho tiep can nguon von cua ngan hang".

Vietbao.vn (Theo Infonet)

-----------------------

TIN KINH TE NOI BAT:                                                                                       


http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/2131640087-2-dien-thumb-248x156.jpeg http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/2131640087-3-20130520140557camap.jpeg http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/2131640087-4-1400813.BMP

>> Diep khuc mat dien mua nong, chieu tang gia cua EVN?

>> Co dong \'ca map\' va nhung lo hong phap ly >> 27 tap doan, tong cong ty Nha nuoc no hon 54.000 nghin ty dong 

TIN NHA DAT NOI BAT:                                                                                     

http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/best_2131640087-5-2013052016a-t7.jpeg http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/2131640087-6-8.jpeg http://a8.vietbao.vn/http://a8.vietbao.vn/images/vn888/hot/v2013/2131639724-8-2013022615Savill-60996.jpeg
>> Truc loi goi 30.000 ty dong co the bi di tu >> Chuoc loi theo kieu...Nam Cuong >> Savills: Chi so gia nha o giam, hoat dong van phong tang trong quy I

CO THE BAN QUAN TAM                                                                                 

>>  Nhieu nguoi van "sap bay” mua hang qua mang

>> 15 ngan hang da giam lai suat huy dong sau ha tran lai suat

>> Global Witness muon “di dem” voi “bau” Duc?

>> CPI thang 5 tai Ha Noi va TPHCM tiep tuc am

>> Mot lit xang dang cong 4 loai thue, 3 loai phi

>> Loi thoat nao cho nen kinh te?

>> Bau Duc cho Chinh phu Lao vay gan 190 ti dong

>> An 4 cay kem, khach bi \'chem\' 1,7 trieu dong

>> Tranh chap tai du an Duong Noi bung phat

>> Co nen lap tran cho gia xang dau?

>> Co hoi thau tom qua san chung khoan

>> Dat dich vu het thoi "ga de trung vang

>> Bau Duc doi mat to chuc “khung” the nao?

>>  Ban hang da cap: Ho da bi me hoac bang \'bua\' gi?

>>  NHNN dang bai viet "Can lui thoi han ap dung Thong tu 02"

Cac bai viet khac:

Tiep theo >>


^ Lên đầu trang ^


Copyright © 2006-2012 by VietBao.vn
Viet Bao Viet Nam - All Rights Reserved.